The Dark Horse That Will Reach the World Cup 2026 Final

Every World Cup Has Its Surprise Finalist

In 1990, nobody expected Croatia to reach the Final — they did not exist as a nation. In 2018, Croatia shocked the world by reaching the Final against France. In 2022, Morocco reached the semi-finals. Every World Cup produces at least one nation that goes significantly further than anyone predicted. In 2026, who is that nation?

The Case for Morocco

After their opening draw against Brazil — with Bouaddi dominating one of the best midfields on earth — Morocco are no longer a dark horse. They are a genuine contender. But if they finish second in Group C behind Brazil, their knockout path from the Round of 32 could avoid France and Germany until the semi-finals. That gives them a realistic path to the Final.

The Case for Germany

7-1 in their opening match. Musiala at his best. Havertz scoring twice. A deep, talented squad with a young coach who plays attractive, attacking football. Germany are ranked fourth or fifth by most pre-tournament assessments. But with this form, they could reach the Final as the "surprise" European finalist.

The Case for Japan

Japan have beaten Germany three times in their last four encounters and eliminated Spain in 2022. Their pressing system is elite. If they draw a favorable path through the knockout rounds, they are capable of eliminating a top European nation and reaching the semi-finals for the first time in history.