The Last 8 at World Cup 2026
The quarter-finals at World Cup 2026 take place July 16-19. Eight nations. Four matches. Each worth a place in the semi-finals of the greatest sporting event on earth. Here are our predictions for who makes the last 8 — and who goes home.
Our Quarter-Final Bracket
QF1 — France vs Morocco
The rematch of the 2022 semi-final. France beat Morocco 2-0 in Qatar. In 2026, Morocco are stronger — Bouaddi adds a dimension they did not have four years ago. France win — but not comfortably. 2-1 after extra time. Mbappe decides it.
QF2 — Brazil vs England
The match the neutrals want. Vinicius vs Bellingham. Brazil win — their physical intensity in the knockout rounds is too much for an England side that historically struggles against South American opposition. 2-1. Vinicius scores both.
QF3 — Germany vs Spain
The best match of the quarter-finals. Musiala and Wirtz vs Yamal and Pedri. Germany edge it on penalties after a 1-1 draw — their superior set-piece threat proving decisive.
QF4 — Argentina vs Italy
Argentina have Messi for one last knockout match. Italy have defensive organization but limited attacking quality. Argentina win 1-0. Messi assists the winner. His final knockout match at a World Cup.
Quarter-Final Summary
Semi-finals: France vs Argentina · Brazil vs Germany. Final: France vs Brazil. The two pre-tournament favourites meet at MetLife Stadium on July 19 — exactly as the script demanded.
Ready to go deeper?
Predictions Bible — $27
The complete guide with 90+ pages of evidence-based protocols.
GET THE GUIDE — $27 →